NCAA Tournament March Madness

#29 North Carolina

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Projected seed: 5

The projection fits because North Carolina pairs a string of signature wins with a handful of damaging road defeats, creating a résumé that is impressive but flawed; the Tar Heels’ most convincing moments come from beating Duke at home, knocking off Kansas, taking Ohio State on a neutral court and winning tough games on the road at Kentucky and Virginia, which proves they can close against top opposition, while ugly losses away at Stanford and California, a rough trip to NC State and setbacks at SMU and Miami plus a neutral loss to Michigan State keep the resume from climbing higher; the upcoming road game at Duke is a concrete chance to reinforce the positives and erase some of the damage, but until those inconsistent road results are cleaned up the team projects where it does.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3Cent Arkansas150W94-54
11/7Kansas20W87-74
11/11Radford254W89-74
11/14NC Central353W97-53
11/18Navy140W73-61
11/25(N)St Bonaventure155W85-70
11/27(N)Michigan St10L74-58
12/2@Kentucky26W67-64
12/7Georgetown84W81-61
12/13SC Upstate300W80-62
12/16ETSU143W77-58
12/20(N)Ohio St27W71-70
12/22East Carolina262W99-51
12/30Florida St71W79-66
1/3@SMU43L97-83
1/10Wake Forest76W87-84
1/14@Stanford61L95-90
1/17@California70L84-78
1/21Notre Dame87W91-69
1/24@Virginia19W85-80
1/31@Georgia Tech169W91-75
2/2Syracuse79W87-77
2/7Duke1W71-68
2/10@Miami FL28L75-66
2/14Pittsburgh102W79-65
2/17@NC State35L82-58
2/21@Syracuse79W77-64
2/23Louisville17W77-74
2/28Virginia Tech58W89-82
3/3Clemson38W67-63
3/7@Duke17%